Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs A.C. Savoia

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Tumbarello G.
Assist: Martina A.
20' Event
Nepi A.
58' Event
Nepi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Catania
35%
Draws
37%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A.C. Savoia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • A.C. Savoia have won more games recently than Catania.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • A.C. Savoia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor A.C. Savoia, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Catania Clean Sheet 13%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Catania vs A.C. Savoia
0:3
Feb 24, 2001 Lega Pro C1/B
A.C. Savoia vs Catania
1:2
Oct 14, 2000 Lega Pro C1/B
Catania vs A.C. Savoia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumbarello G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nepi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 35 / 100
A.C. Savoia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania A.C. Savoia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A.C. Savoia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

A.C. Savoia has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Catania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS A.C. Savoia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

A.C. Savoia

(Away)
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -