Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs Casarano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Donnarumma D.
24'
Quaini A.
30'
Maiello R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Casarano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Catania
22%
Draws
60%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Casarano's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Casarano
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Casarano
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Catania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzzaniti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 18 / 100
Casarano 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Casarano let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Catania remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Casarano
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
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Casarano

(Away)
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)