Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Martino P.
56'
56'
Sub
Liotti D. In: Bacchetti L.
Out: Liotti D.
64'
64'
Sub
Corbari A. In: Jimenez K.
Out: Corbari A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Catania and Casertana finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Catania haven't matched Casertana's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Catania | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Catania
1:2
Mar 9, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Casertana
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Catania
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Casertana
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Catania
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Catania 77 / 100
Casertana 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Catania Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catania scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Casertana has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Catania VS Casertana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Catania
(Home) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4 Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0 Barletta
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2 Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0 Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3 A.C. Savoia
23 Aug
Catania
1 : 2 Inter U23
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Casertana
(Away) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0 Casertana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
