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Catania vs Crotone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Zunno M.
27'
Barcella K.
39'
Quaini A.

AI Match Summary

Catania in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Catania
30%
Draws
23%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catania lately — more wins on the board than Crotone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Crotone
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Catania
2:0
Dec 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Crotone vs Catania
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Crotone
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Insigne R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunno M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 77 / 100
Crotone 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Catania's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Crotone
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
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Crotone

(Away)
03 Oct
Catania
2 : 1
Crotone
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
4 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
5 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
7 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
9 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
14 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
15 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
16 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)