Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs Scafatese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Emmausso M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Donnarumma D. In: Bruzzaniti G.
Out: Donnarumma D.
53'
Toscano M.

AI Match Summary

Scafatese in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Catania
20%
Draws
36%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scafatese lately — more wins on the board than Catania.
  • Catania are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Scafatese
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.28 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Scafatese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Toscano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 50 / 100
Scafatese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Catania scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Scafatese has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Catania stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Scafatese
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
29 Aug
Monopoli
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

Scafatese

(Away)
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
01 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 1
Scafatese
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 5 5 0 0 9:3 15
2 Casertana 5 3 2 0 11:8 11
3 Bari 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Potenza 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
5 Audace Cerignola 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
6 Picerno 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
7 Casarano 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
8 Monopoli 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
9 Inter U23 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
10 Catania 5 2 0 3 10:8 6
11 Barletta 5 1 3 1 10:9 6
12 Salernitana 5 1 3 1 8:7 6
13 Scafatese 5 1 3 1 7:8 6
14 A.C. Savoia 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
15 Cavese 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Foggia 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
17 Giugliano 5 1 1 3 11:15 4
18 Altamura 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
19 Cosenza 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
20 Crotone 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)