Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Catania vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pirrello R.
Own Goal
36' Event
Pieraccini S.
46'
Sub
Benedetti A. In: Winkelmann T.
Out: Benedetti A.

AI Match Summary

Catania in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Catania
30%
Draws
34%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catania lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Trapani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Trapani
4:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Catania
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Catania
0:3
Nov 26, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Catania vs Trapani
0:5
Nov 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Trapani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieraccini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 46 / 100
Trapani 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Catania scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Trapani
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 May
Catania
2 : 1
Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0
Catania
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
26 Apr
Atalanta U23
1 : 1
Catania
Page 1 of 6

Trapani

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)