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Catania vs Trapani Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pirrello R.
Own Goal
36' Event
Pieraccini S.
46'
Sub
Benedetti A. In: Winkelmann T.
Out: Benedetti A.

AI Match Summary

Catania in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Catania
15%
Draws
20%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catania lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Catania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Catania Clean Sheet 68%
Trapani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catania Trapani
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Trapani
4:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Catania
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Catania
0:3
Nov 26, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Catania vs Trapani
0:5
Nov 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Trapani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieraccini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Trapani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catania 95 / 100
Trapani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catania Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Catania scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Catania has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Catania VS Trapani
1.13 Goals Scored 0.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Catania

(Home)
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
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Trapani

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)