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Catanzaro vs Palermo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Catanzaro host Palermo in the Serie B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Catanzaro at 1.72 goals for, 1.79 against; Palermo at 2.24 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Palermo slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 2.50) back Palermo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Catanzaro
35%
Draws
53%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Palermo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Palermo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.72 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
2:0
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
3:0
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Palermo vs Catanzaro
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Palermo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 10 / 100
Palermo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Palermo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Catanzaro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Palermo
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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Palermo

(Away)
01 Nov
Palermo
3 : 1
Vicenza
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Palermo
2 : 1
Carrarese
17 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Palermo
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)