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Catanzaro vs Sudtirol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Pyyhtia N.
27' Event
Pafundi S.
Assist: D'Alessandro M.
40'
Davi F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Catanzaro
35%
Draws
32%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sudtirol haven't matched Catanzaro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Catanzaro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudtirol, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 13%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catanzaro Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
2:0
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Catanzaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Catanzaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pafundi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iemmello P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyhtia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mixtur K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catanzaro 31 / 100
Sudtirol 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catanzaro Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Sudtirol has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Catanzaro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Catanzaro VS Sudtirol
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Catanzaro

(Home)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Sudtirol

(Away)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -