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Catda vs Bright Stars

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bright Stars in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bright Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Catda
20%
Draws
23%
Bright Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bright Stars haven't matched Catda's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Catda taking it.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Bright Stars Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Bright Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Bright Stars
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Big League
Bright Stars vs Catda
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 85 / 100
Bright Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Bright Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bright Stars let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Catda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Bright Stars registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Bright Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
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Bright Stars

(Away)
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Ntugasaze
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Bright Stars
0 : 1
Blacks Power
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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