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Catda vs Onduparaka

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Catda Logo

Catda

1 - 0
FT
Onduparaka Logo

Onduparaka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Catda and Onduparaka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Catda
35%
Draws
24%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Catda and Onduparaka close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Catda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catda Onduparaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.8 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Big League
Catda vs Onduparaka
1:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Onduparaka vs Catda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catda 42 / 100
Onduparaka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catda Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Onduparaka let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Catda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Catda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Catda VS Onduparaka
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Catda

(Home)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Onduparaka
1 : 1
Young Elephant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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