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Cattolica Calcio vs Caldiero Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cattolica Calcio play Caldiero Terme in the Serie D - Group C 2021/2022. Caldiero Terme are favorites here. Recently, Cattolica Calcio averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Caldiero Terme averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Cattolica Calcio won 0, Caldiero Terme won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Cattolica Calcio and 1.43 for Caldiero Terme. This points to a Caldiero Terme double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cattolica Calcio
25%
Draws
57%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Caldiero Terme

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cattolica Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Caldiero Terme.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Cattolica Calcio Clean Sheet 17%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cattolica Calcio Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 14
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.15

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cattolica Calcio vs Caldiero Terme
1:2
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Caldiero Terme vs Cattolica Calcio
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cattolica Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Semprini J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerbato L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boldini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cattolica Calcio 20 / 100
Caldiero Terme 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cattolica Calcio Caldiero Terme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldiero Terme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Caldiero Terme & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cattolica Calcio attacking → ← attacking Caldiero Terme

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cattolica Calcio scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Caldiero Terme let in goals in 78% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cattolica Calcio went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Caldiero Terme lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arzignano342110374:3273
2Clodiense342012253:2272
3Adriese34199661:3666
4Luparense FC341610860:3558
5Campodarsego341511848:3756
6Caldiero Terme341561358:5051
7Dolomiti Bellunesi341481251:5050
8Montebelluna341471357:5249
9Mestre341371436:4546
10Cjarlins Muzane3411121151:4345
11Cartigliano3411121144:4045
12Este3410131131:4243
13Levico Terme341191431:4042
14Ambrosiana341171645:5240
15Delta Porto Tolle341061843:5136
16Spinea34672127:5825
17Cattolica Calcio34652320:6123
18San Martino Speme34552429:7320