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Catuense vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2010
Catuense Logo

Catuense

2 - 1
FT
EC Ypiranga Logo

EC Ypiranga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Catuense in this Baiano 2 2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catuense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Catuense
15%
Draws
59%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Catuense haven't matched EC Ypiranga's recent run of results.
  • EC Ypiranga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Catuense Clean Sheet 10%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Catuense EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
4:1
Jul 10, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
0:0
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
1:0
May 11, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
0:0
May 12, 2010 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Catuense 10 / 100
EC Ypiranga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Catuense EC Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Catuense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Catuense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Catuense VS EC Ypiranga
1 Goals Scored 0.5
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Catuense

(Home)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
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EC Ypiranga

(Away)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 8 4 3 1 17:8 15
2 Camacariense 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
3 Catuense 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
4 Galicia 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
5 EC Ypiranga 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serrano 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 Juazeiro 8 5 1 2 16:12 16
3 Doce Mel 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
4 Esporte Clube Pocoes 8 1 2 5 11:19 5
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 4 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)