Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caucaia vs Crateus

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Siloe
(Penalty)
21' Event
Yarley
32' Event
Sousa A.

AI Match Summary

Crateus in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caucaia
20%
Draws
57%
Crateus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Crateus have won more games recently than Caucaia.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Crateus taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 14%
Crateus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Crateus
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Caucaia
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Crateus
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Crateus Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaparral
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yarley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 23 / 100
Crateus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Crateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crateus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Caucaia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crateus conceded in 42% of 19 recent games.

Solid form: Caucaia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Crateus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

Crateus

(Away)
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Crateus
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)