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Caucaia vs Fortaleza B Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes 2024 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Fabricio Dias
63' Event
Siloe

AI Match Summary

Caucaia in this Copa Fares Lopes 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Caucaia
35%
Draws
39%
Fortaleza B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Caucaia have won more games recently than Fortaleza B.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Caucaia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caucaia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 14%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Fortaleza B
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes
Caucaia vs Fortaleza B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Siloe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Fortaleza B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 15 / 100
Fortaleza B 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Fortaleza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Caucaia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caucaia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Fortaleza B
0.5 Goals Scored 1.2
2 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza B

(Away)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Atletico Cearense 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Fortaleza B 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Tirol 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caucaia 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
2 Floresta EC 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
3 Ceara B 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes 2024 (Play Offs)