Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caucaia vs Guarany SC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sousa E.
30' Event
Isaias
57' Event
Costa D.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Caucaia and Guarany SC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Caucaia
15%
Draws
59%
Guarany SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarany SC haven't matched Caucaia's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Guarany SC taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 13%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Guarany SC
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Guarany SC
1:4
Mar 29, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Caucaia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 14 / 100
Guarany SC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Guarany SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarany SC conceded in 65% of 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caucaia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Guarany SC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

Guarany SC

(Away)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)