Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caucaia vs Itapipoca

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vanderlan
32'
Samuel
32'
Siloe

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Caucaia and Itapipoca finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caucaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caucaia
30%
Draws
47%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caucaia haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Itapipoca a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 15%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Itapipoca
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanderlan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ailton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Augusto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 23 / 100
Itapipoca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Itapipoca conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Caucaia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Itapipoca
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
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Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)