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Stadium Background

Caucaia vs Maranguape

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025 Estádio Municipal Raimundo de Oliveira, Itambe
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lucas Viana
90'
Maxwell
90'
Luis Gabriel

AI Match Summary

Caucaia in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caucaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caucaia
20%
Draws
51%
Maranguape
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caucaia haven't matched Maranguape's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maranguape's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 15%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caucaia Maranguape
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Caucaia
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Maranguape
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Viana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Maranguape Compare

Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caucaia 23 / 100
Maranguape 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caucaia Maranguape

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranguape Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Maranguape's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Caucaia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caucaia VS Maranguape
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Caucaia

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
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Maranguape

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)