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Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caudal Deportivo play Gijon B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caudal Deportivo averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Gijon B averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Caudal Deportivo won 2, Gijon B won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Caudal Deportivo and 1.50 for Gijon B. This points to a Gijon B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caudal Deportivo
20%
Draws
41%
Gijon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gijon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Caudal Deportivo picked up more points recently compared to Gijon B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 16%
Gijon B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caudal Deportivo Gijon B
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.69 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo
1:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon B
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Gijon B
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon B vs Caudal Deportivo
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caudal Deportivo 38 / 100
Gijon B 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caudal Deportivo Gijon B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gijon B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caudal Deportivo attacking → ← attacking Gijon B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caudal Deportivo scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Gijon B let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Caudal Deportivo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gijon B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 61
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13