Sport Picks

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Cavalier vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Thomas R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Cavalier and Chapelton finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cavalier
20%
Draws
44%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chapelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Chapelton haven't matched Cavalier's recent run of results.
  • Cavalier are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavalier have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Chapelton
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 59 / 100
Chapelton 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalier's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Chapelton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Cavalier has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Chapelton
1.75 Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
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Chapelton

(Away)
20 Sept
Chapelton
2 : 1
Molynes United
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)