Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavalier vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Thomas R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Cavalier and Chapelton finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cavalier
6%
Draws
4%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cavalier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapelton haven't matched Cavalier's recent run of results.
  • Cavalier are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavalier have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Chapelton
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:4
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Chapelton
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Cavalier
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Chapelton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 95 / 100
Chapelton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalier's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chapelton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Cavalier has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Chapelton
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)