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Cavalier vs Montego Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cavalier host Montego Bay in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cavalier have averaged 1.3 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Montego Bay's 1.9 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Cavalier have won 2 to Montego Bay's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 0.94) back Montego Bay to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cavalier
20%
Draws
47%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cavalier haven't matched Montego Bay's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 20%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Montego Bay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
0:2
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Montego Bay
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
1:0
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Montego Bay
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 32 / 100
Montego Bay 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Montego Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavalier scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Cavalier remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Montego Bay let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Montego Bay
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Montego Bay

(Away)
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0
Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)