Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavalier vs Montego Bay

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Stadium East, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Reid A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cavalier
20%
Draws
30%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Montego Bay have won more games recently than Cavalier.
  • Cavalier are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Montego Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Montego Bay, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalier Montego Bay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
0:2
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Montego Bay
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Cavalier
1:0
Dec 8, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Montego Bay
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalier 77 / 100
Montego Bay 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalier Montego Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalier scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Montego Bay has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cavalier went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalier VS Montego Bay
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalier

(Home)
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
21 Aug
Cavalier
0 : 0
Salcedo
06 Aug
Cibao
0 : 0
Cavalier
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
Page 1 of 6

Montego Bay

(Away)
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
06 May
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Montego Bay
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2