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Cavalry vs Inter Toronto

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League ATCO Field
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cavalry play Inter Toronto in the Canadian Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cavalry averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Inter Toronto averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Cavalry won 2, Inter Toronto won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Cavalry and 0.88 for Inter Toronto. This points to a Cavalry double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cavalry
24%
Draws
34%
Inter Toronto
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalry picked up more points recently compared to Inter Toronto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 25%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Inter Toronto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Cavalry
1:5
Apr 25, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
4:1
Sep 5, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Cavalry
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Inter Toronto
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 43 / 100
Inter Toronto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Inter Toronto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cavalry or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cavalry attacking → ← attacking Inter Toronto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Inter Toronto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cavalry went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Inter Toronto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 41
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Forge FC12101120:731
2Cavalry1182122:526
3Atletico Ottawa1252518:2217
4HFX Wanderers1343617:2015
5Vancouver FC1242615:1414
6Inter Toronto1033413:2112
7Supra du Quebec1032514:1611
8Pacific FC1203913:273