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Cavalry vs Edmonton

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League 2022 ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mason J.
Assist: Alarcon R.
38'
Smith C.
43' Event
Yao K.
Assist: Fisk B.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League 2022 game between Cavalry and Edmonton finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavalry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cavalry
20%
Draws
23%
Edmonton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Edmonton haven't matched Cavalry's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cavalry a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cavalry have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 20%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Edmonton
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 27 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Cavalry
0:1
Jul 30, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Edmonton
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Edmonton
3:1
May 11, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Edmonton
2:1
May 7, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs Cavalry
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yao K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Edmonton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 85 / 100
Edmonton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Edmonton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavalry scored in 93% of their last 40 outings.

Edmonton has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cavalry has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 8

Edmonton

(Away)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
Promotion - Canadian Premier League 2022 (Play Offs)