Sport Picks

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Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Canada Canada

Championship ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Laborda M.
38'
Didic A.
46'
Sub
Laborda M. In: Blackmon T.
Out: Laborda M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cavalry
30%
Draws
34%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cavalry are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
4:1
May 22, 2024 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
0:1
May 8, 2024 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2
May 26, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Musse A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Gherasimencov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 36 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cavalry stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Vancouver Whitecaps
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
10 Jun
Inter Toronto
1 : 5
Cavalry
06 Jun
Cavalry
2 : 0
HFX Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
Houston Dynamo
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
14 May
FC Dallas
2 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-