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Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Canada Canada

Championship ATCO Field, Foothills County, AB
Cavalry Logo

Cavalry

1 - 1
FT
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Laborda M.
38'
Didic A.
46'
Sub
Laborda M. In: Blackmon T.
Out: Laborda M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cavalry
15%
Draws
27%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavalry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cavalry are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Cavalry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vancouver Whitecaps, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 18%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavalry Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jul 9, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
4:1
May 22, 2024 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Cavalry
0:1
May 8, 2024 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2
May 26, 2022 Championship
Cavalry vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Musse A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Gherasimencov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavalry 58 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavalry Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavalry scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Cavalry went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cavalry VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavalry

(Home)
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
29 Aug
Cavalry
1 : 0
Vancouver FC
22 Aug
Cavalry
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -