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Cavaly vs Mirebalais

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cavaly
35%
Draws
45%
Mirebalais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirebalais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cavaly have won more games recently than Mirebalais.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cavaly Clean Sheet 20%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavaly Mirebalais
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 15
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.33 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2021 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Mirebalais
1:1
Oct 11, 2020 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cavaly
3:1
Oct 27, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cavaly
0:0
Apr 20, 2019 Championnat National
Cavaly vs Mirebalais
2:2
Nov 11, 2018 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cavaly
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavaly 32 / 100
Mirebalais 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavaly Mirebalais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cavaly scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Mirebalais's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cavaly remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavaly VS Mirebalais
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavaly

(Home)
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
11 May
Juventus
1 : 1
Cavaly
23 Apr
America des Cayes
2 : 1
Cavaly
20 Apr
Cavaly
3 : 0
Juventus
09 Apr
Juventus
1 : 0
Cavaly
Page 1 of 7

Mirebalais

(Away)
30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
23 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 1
Mirebalais
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
09 May
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Mirebalais
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Don Bosco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Bosco 8 4 4 0 14:5 16
2 Mirebalais 9 3 6 0 8:5 15
3 Ouanaminthe 9 4 3 2 8:6 15
4 Rivartibonitienne 9 3 5 1 7:6 14
5 Arcahaie 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
6 Cavaly 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
7 Fica 9 3 3 3 5:4 12
8 Tempete 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
9 AS Capoise 9 3 2 4 6:5 11
10 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
11 Real du Cap 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
12 Violette 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
13 Racing des Gonaives 9 2 4 3 4:7 10
14 America des Cayes 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
15 Juventus 8 2 2 4 5:8 8
16 Baltimore 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Racing Haitien 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
18 Cosmopolites 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Cloture - Play Offs)