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Caversham vs Cashmere Technical

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Caversham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caversham
15%
Draws
57%
Cashmere Technical
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical's 2.43 goals per match outpaces what Caversham have produced (1.43).
  • Model gives Cashmere Technical a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Caversham, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Caversham Clean Sheet 12%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caversham Cashmere Technical
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.43 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Caversham
2:0
Jul 8, 2012 Chatham Cup
Caversham vs Cashmere Technical
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caversham 10 / 100
Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caversham Cashmere Technical

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caversham scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cashmere Technical conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Caversham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cashmere Technical
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Caversham

(Home)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 6

Cashmere Technical

(Away)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
17 Feb
Cashmere Technical
6 : 1
Selwyn United
23 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Birkenhead
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Miramar 4
Stop Out SC 0
Dunedin 1
Western AFC 0
Three Kings 2
Central United 3
Melville 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Caversham 4
Cashmere Technical 2
Manukau City 2
Papatoetoe 1
Birkenhead 4
Hamilton 1
Lower Hutt City 2
Napier City 0
Quarter-finals
Miramar 5
Dunedin 1
Central United 2
Eastern Suburbs 0
Caversham 3
Manukau City 1
Birkenhead 2
Lower Hutt City 3
Semi-finals
Miramar 0
Central United 6
Caversham 0
Lower Hutt City 4
Final
Central United 6
Lower Hutt City 1