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Caversham vs Waitakere City

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2002
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2002 game between Caversham and Waitakere City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caversham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Caversham
15%
Draws
51%
Waitakere City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waitakere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caversham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Waitakere City taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2002 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%
Waitakere City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caversham Waitakere City
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.5 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2016 Chatham Cup
Waitakere City vs Caversham
3:1
Sep 13, 2002 Football Championship
Caversham vs Waitakere City
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caversham 14 / 100
Waitakere City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caversham Waitakere City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waitakere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caversham found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Waitakere City let in goals in 91% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Caversham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caversham VS Waitakere City
2 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caversham

(Home)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
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Waitakere City

(Away)
06 Jul
Waitakere City
1 : 3
Melville
11 Sept
Birkenhead
3 : 2
Waitakere City
28 Aug
Waitakere City
6 : 1
Three Kings
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Waitemata FC
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