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Stadium Background

Cavese vs Altamura

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Rosafio M.
54' Event
Grande M.
64'
Sub
Awua T. In: Maiolo F.
Out: Awua T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Cavese and Altamura finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cavese
35%
Draws
25%
Altamura
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Cavese haven't matched Altamura's recent run of results.
  • Cavese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%
Altamura Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Altamura
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Altamura
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Cavese
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Altamura
1:1
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Cavese
0:0
May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cavese vs Altamura
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Orlando F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosafio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grande M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 95 / 100
Altamura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Altamura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Altamura conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cavese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Altamura
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
13 Apr
Benevento
0 : 1
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

Altamura

(Away)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)