Sport Picks
Cavese vs Audace Cerignola
Italy
Serie C - Group C Stadio Simonetta Lamberti, Cava de' Tirreni 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Sena F. In: Kurti A.
Out: Sena F.
32'
32'
Nanula M.
43'
43'
Cionek T.
Assist: Orlando F.
AI Match Summary
Cavese in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Audace Cerignola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Cavese haven't matched Audace Cerignola's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cavese Clean Sheet 16%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cavese | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Audace Cerignola
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Audace Cerignola
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Cavese
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Audace Cerignola
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Cavese
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cavese Compare
Top Goalscorer Cionek T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Macchi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer Gambale D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cavese 31 / 100
Audace Cerignola 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cavese Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Cavese's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Audace Cerignola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Cavese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cavese VS Audace Cerignola
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cavese
(Home) 15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3 Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0 Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1 Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0 Cavese
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3 Sorrento
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1 Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0 Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1 Cosenza
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1 Cosenza
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Casertana | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 3 | Bari | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Potenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Picerno | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 7 | Casarano | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Inter U23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Catania | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Barletta | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Scafatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 14 | A.C. Savoia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Cavese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Foggia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:15 | 4 |
| 18 | Altamura | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | 1 |
| 20 | Crotone | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
