Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cavese vs Sarnese

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kargbo A.

AI Match Summary

Cavese in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cavese
30%
Draws
47%
Sarnese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavese haven't matched Sarnese's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cavese here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cavese Clean Sheet 16%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cavese Sarnese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Cavese vs Sarnese
1:0
Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Cavese
3:4
Oct 1, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Sarnese
3:0
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Cavese vs Sarnese
4:0
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Sarnese vs Cavese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Kargbo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sarnese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cavese 31 / 100
Sarnese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cavese Sarnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarnese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cavese scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sarnese conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cavese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cavese VS Sarnese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cavese

(Home)
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
06 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 1
Cavese
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
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Sarnese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
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