Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012

Arenas De Frajanas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD play Arenas De Frajanas in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012. Cayon CD are favorites here. Recently, Cayon CD averaged 1.76 goals scored and 0.98 conceded. Arenas De Frajanas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Cayon CD won 5, Arenas De Frajanas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Cayon CD and 1.00 for Arenas De Frajanas. This points to a Cayon CD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Cayon CD

15%

Draws

21%

Arenas De Frajanas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Cayon CD picked up more points recently compared to Arenas De Frajanas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Cayon CD Clean Sheet 23%

Arenas De Frajanas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cayon CD	Arenas De Frajanas
Matches Played	42	30
Wins	27	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.76	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.98	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Arenas De Frajanas vs Cayon CD

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Dec 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs Arenas De Frajanas

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Feb 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs Arenas De Frajanas

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Arenas De Frajanas vs Cayon CD

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs Arenas De Frajanas

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 62 / 100

Arenas De Frajanas 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cayon CD Arenas De Frajanas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Cayon CD & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cayon CD attacking → ← attacking Arenas De Frajanas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayon CD scored in 83% of their last 42 games.

Arenas De Frajanas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cayon CD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arenas De Frajanas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

86 Points in last 5 27

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Noja	38	27	6	5	102:30	87
2	CD Laredo	38	26	7	5	85:40	85
3	Rayo Cantabria	38	22	12	4	91:30	78
4	Cayon CD	38	23	9	6	58:36	78
5	CD Tropezon	38	23	6	9	84:43	75
6	UM Escobedo	38	20	8	10	63:50	68
7	CD Siete Villas	38	19	8	11	61:49	65
8	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	16	11	11	75:53	59
9	Barreda Balompie	38	13	11	14	58:60	50
10	Castro	38	14	6	18	62:63	48
11	Guarnizo	38	11	12	15	59:58	45
12	Vimenor	38	13	6	19	45:65	45
13	Pontejos	38	10	11	17	50:65	41
14	Ribamontan al Mar	38	10	10	18	41:71	40
15	Bezana	38	9	11	18	43:66	38
16	Atletico Albericia	38	9	11	18	50:69	38
17	San Martin Arena	38	10	4	24	44:68	34
18	Buelna	38	8	9	21	36:76	33
19	CD Barquereno	38	7	8	23	35:72	29
20	Arenas De Frajanas	38	5	4	29	30:108	19