Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013

Deportiva Santillana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cayon CD play Deportiva Santillana in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013. Cayon CD are favorites here. Recently, Cayon CD averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Deportiva Santillana averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Cayon CD won 2, Deportiva Santillana won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Cayon CD and 1.00 for Deportiva Santillana. This points to a Cayon CD double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Cayon CD

22%

Draws

21%

Deportiva Santillana

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Cayon CD picked up more points recently compared to Deportiva Santillana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Cayon CD Clean Sheet 23%

Deportiva Santillana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cayon CD	Deportiva Santillana
Matches Played	44	32
Wins	27	6
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.68	0.78
Goals Conceded	0.91	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Deportiva Santillana vs Cayon CD

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Nov 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs Deportiva Santillana

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Deportiva Santillana vs Cayon CD

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Cayon CD vs Deportiva Santillana

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cayon CD 56 / 100

Deportiva Santillana 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cayon CD Deportiva Santillana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Cayon CD & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cayon CD attacking → ← attacking Deportiva Santillana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayon CD scored in 80% of their last 44 games.

Deportiva Santillana let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cayon CD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportiva Santillana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

88 Points in last 5 27

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Tropezon	38	25	8	5	87:32	83
2	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	25	8	5	76:27	83
3	Cayon CD	38	20	13	5	50:22	73
4	CD Laredo	38	18	14	6	54:30	68
5	Castro	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Vimenor	38	17	10	11	53:43	61
7	Barreda Balompie	38	17	9	12	50:44	60
8	Santona	38	16	10	12	53:51	58
9	CD Siete Villas	38	15	8	15	48:49	53
10	Guarnizo	38	13	13	12	45:41	52
11	UM Escobedo	38	14	9	15	67:54	51
12	Gama	38	15	5	18	35:42	50
13	Bezana	38	11	14	13	42:47	47
14	Atletico Albericia	38	12	11	15	50:51	47
15	Pontejos	38	13	8	17	45:55	47
16	Ribamontan al Mar	38	11	12	15	42:51	45
17	Deportiva Santillana	38	9	9	20	43:65	36
18	Textil Escudo	38	8	6	24	35:69	30
19	Escuela Meruelo	38	5	7	26	33:85	22
20	San Martin Arena	38	2	6	30	16:85	12