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Cazalegas vs Puertollano C.F. Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzales P.
62' Event
Luquin H.
90' Event
Ramirez J.

AI Match Summary

Puertollano C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cazalegas
15%
Draws
49%
Puertollano C.F.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puertollano C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puertollano C.F. lately — more wins on the board than Cazalegas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puertollano C.F. have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 12%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cazalegas Puertollano C.F.
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.47 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Puertollano C.F.
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Puertollano C.F.
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Cazalegas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cazalegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Luquin H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.41
Avg xA / game 0.27

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzales P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cazalegas 35 / 100
Puertollano C.F. 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cazalegas Puertollano C.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puertollano C.F. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Puertollano C.F.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cazalegas's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Puertollano C.F. has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cazalegas VS Puertollano C.F.
0.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cazalegas

(Home)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
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Puertollano C.F.

(Away)
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)