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Cazalegas vs Villarrubia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Blazquez S.
61' Event
Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cazalegas
20%
Draws
50%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cazalegas haven't matched Villarrubia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 15%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cazalegas Villarrubia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Villarrubia
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Cazalegas
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Villarrubia
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Cazalegas
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Villarrubia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cazalegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazquez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cazalegas 31 / 100
Villarrubia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cazalegas Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Villarrubia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cazalegas scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Cazalegas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cazalegas VS Villarrubia
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cazalegas

(Home)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
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Villarrubia

(Away)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)