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CD Aguilar vs Racing Lermeno

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 game between CD Aguilar and Racing Lermeno finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Lermeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CD Aguilar
15%
Draws
26%
Racing Lermeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Aguilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Aguilar come out ahead of Racing Lermeno on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Aguilar's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Aguilar Racing Lermeno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 3
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs CD Aguilar
2:2
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Racing Lermeno
0:1
Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Racing Lermeno
2:3
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs CD Aguilar
1:1
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs CD Aguilar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Aguilar 76 / 100
Racing Lermeno 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Aguilar Racing Lermeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Aguilar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Lermeno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

CD Aguilar's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Aguilar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Racing Lermeno
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Aguilar

(Home)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 6

Racing Lermeno

(Away)
11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2
CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0
Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1
Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2
Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1
Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)