Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with CD Alcala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives CD Ourense a 36% chance of winning this.
- CD Ourense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CD Alcala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 16%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Alcala | CD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.78 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs CD Alcala
6:1
Feb 5, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Alcala vs CD Ourense
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Alcala 23 / 100
CD Ourense 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Alcala CD Ourense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: CD Alcala scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.
CD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
CD Alcala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Alcala
(Home) 13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2 Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0 CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2 CD Alcala
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13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2 Sanluqueno
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Castilleja CF
08 Apr
CD Alcala
2 : 0 CD Utrera
18 Mar
CD Alcala
1 : 3 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 Mar
CD Alcala
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
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CD Ourense
(Away) 11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0 SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1 CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1 Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1 CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1 Guijuelo
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04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1 CD Ourense
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1 CD Ourense
06 Apr
Real Aviles
1 : 0 CD Ourense
03 Apr
Guadalajara
2 : 1 CD Ourense
23 Mar
Coruxo FC
3 : 0 CD Ourense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
