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CD Alcala vs CMD San Juan Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

0 - 3
FT
CMD San Juan Logo

CMD San Juan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 game between CD Alcala and CMD San Juan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CMD San Juan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
57%
CMD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CMD San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CMD San Juan's 1.09 goals per match outpaces what CD Alcala have produced (0.86).
  • Win probability leans CMD San Juan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CMD San Juan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 16%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala CMD San Juan
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs CD Alcala
1:2
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CMD San Juan
0:1
Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CMD San Juan
0:3
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs CD Alcala
2:0
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs CD Alcala
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 19 / 100
CMD San Juan 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala CMD San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CMD San Juan conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

CD Alcala's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CD Alcala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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CMD San Juan

(Away)
15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1
CMD San Juan
08 May
CMD San Juan
3 : 2
Los Barrios
01 May
Conil
1 : 2
CMD San Juan
24 Apr
CMD San Juan
3 : 0
San Roque de Cadiz
10 Apr
CMD San Juan
2 : 0
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeciras 42 31 7 4 77:28 100
2 CD San Fernando 42 28 7 7 88:28 91
3 CD Gerena 42 28 3 11 89:38 87
4 Sanluqueno 42 26 5 11 74:40 83
5 AD Ceuta 42 20 12 10 50:32 72
6 Lebrijana 42 18 6 18 60:66 60
7 Conil 42 16 12 14 51:60 60
8 Sevilla C 42 15 13 14 42:45 58
9 Ecija 42 15 13 14 49:41 58
10 CD Alcala 42 15 12 15 40:52 57
11 Coria C.F. 42 16 9 17 48:42 57
12 San Roque de Cadiz 42 14 14 14 47:49 56
13 CMD San Juan 42 14 10 18 48:49 52
14 Los Barrios 42 15 7 20 45:50 52
15 CD Guadalcacin 42 14 10 18 39:48 52
16 Cabecense 42 12 13 17 36:54 49
17 Arcos CF 42 14 6 22 46:74 48
18 Mairena 42 11 11 20 42:55 44
19 PD Rociera 42 10 10 22 40:73 40
20 Cadiz B 42 9 11 22 45:54 38
21 La Palma CF 42 9 9 24 35:69 36
22 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 42 9 6 27 34:78 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)