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CD Alcala vs Comarca

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2011/2012
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

1 - 0
FT
Comarca Logo

Comarca

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with CD Alcala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
34%
Comarca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on CD Alcala taking it.
  • CD Alcala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Alcala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 16%
Comarca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Comarca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.8 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2012 Copa Federacion
Comarca vs CD Alcala
1:1
Jan 12, 2012 Copa Federacion
CD Alcala vs Comarca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 75 / 100
Comarca 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Comarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comarca let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

CD Alcala found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Comarca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 6

Comarca

(Away)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CD Alcala 2
Jerez CF 1
Comarca 4
CA Pulpileno 0
Villarrobledo 2
Olimpic Xativa 4
Almeria B 1
AD Ceuta 2
Pena 2
Tudelano 3
Naxara 2
SD Logrones 3
Lemona 5
Burgos CF 1
Amorebieta 4
Real Union 4
Lleida 1
CF Badalona 5
Ontinyent 0
Teruel 5
Coruxo FC 3
Lugo 5
Rayo Cantabria 6
Tuilla 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 2
Mexico 4
Rayo Vallecano B 7
Vecindario 0
Toledo 3
CD Puertollano 1
Binissalem 4
Santboia 1
1/8-finals
CD Alcala 2
Comarca 1
Olimpic Xativa 0
AD Ceuta 3
Tudelano 3
SD Logrones 2
Lemona 3
Amorebieta 1
CF Badalona 1
Teruel 3
Lugo 1
Rayo Cantabria 2
Mexico 0
Rayo Vallecano B 5
Toledo 1
Binissalem 2
Quarter-finals
CD Alcala 3
AD Ceuta 6
Tudelano 3
Lemona 3
Teruel 7
Rayo Cantabria 1
Rayo Vallecano B 3
Binissalem 4
Semi-finals
AD Ceuta 2
Lemona 4
Teruel 3
Binissalem 4
Final
Lemona 6
Binissalem 6