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CD Alcala vs Ecija

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

1 - 0
FT
Ecija Logo

Ecija

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Alcala and Ecija finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Alcala
15%
Draws
0%
Ecija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Alcala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Ecija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alcala Ecija
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 18 30
Goals Scored 0.87 0.32
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Ecija
1:0
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ecija vs CD Alcala
4:1
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ecija vs CD Alcala
1:0
Sep 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Ecija
0:2
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Ecija
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alcala 85 / 100
Ecija 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alcala Ecija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecija has conceded goals in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Ecija lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Alcala's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ecija
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alcala

(Home)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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Ecija

(Away)
17 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Ecija
10 May
Ecija
0 : 3
Conil
03 May
AD Ceuta
3 : 0
Ecija
26 Apr
Ecija
0 : 3
Betis B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
3 : 0
Ecija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)