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Stadium Background

CD Algar vs Deportiva Minera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lopez A.
32' Event
Valdeolivas D.
55' Event
Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

Deportiva Minera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportiva Minera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Algar
35%
Draws
45%
Deportiva Minera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportiva Minera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Algar haven't matched Deportiva Minera's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Deportiva Minera a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportiva Minera here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 18%
Deportiva Minera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Deportiva Minera
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 6 23
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Deportiva Minera
1:4
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportiva Minera vs CD Algar
1:0
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Deportiva Minera
0:2
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportiva Minera vs CD Algar
4:0
Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Deportiva Minera
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Algar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Deportiva Minera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdeolivas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 15 / 100
Deportiva Minera 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Deportiva Minera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportiva Minera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

CD Algar's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportiva Minera conceded in 46% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: CD Algar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Deportiva Minera
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
60% Over 1.5 38%
20% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3
Plus Ultra
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Deportiva Minera

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
23 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
16 Aug
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
Eldense B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)