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CD Algar vs Deportivo Maritimo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between CD Algar and Deportivo Maritimo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Algar
15%
Draws
73%
Deportivo Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Maritimo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Algar Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.47 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Algar 28 / 100
Deportivo Maritimo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Algar Deportivo Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maritimo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maritimo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Deportivo Maritimo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Algar scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Algar VS Deportivo Maritimo
0.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Algar

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
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Deportivo Maritimo

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 CA Pulpileno 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
3 Alcantarilla 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 San Javier 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Molinense 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia B 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 UD Los Garres 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Bala Azul 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Minerva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 FC Cartagena SAD B 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
15 Cotillas CD 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Mazarron FC 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 CD Algar 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)