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Stadium Background

CD Alhaurino vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Oliva S. T.
49' Event
Oliva S. T.
70' Event
Igbinosun D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between CD Alhaurino and Churriana de la Vega finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alhaurino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Alhaurino
11%
Draws
9%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Alhaurino haven't matched Churriana de la Vega's recent run of results.
  • CD Alhaurino are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 20%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Churriana de la Vega
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs CD Alhaurino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Alhaurino Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliva S. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Igbinosun D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 76 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino Churriana de la Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Churriana de la Vega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Alhaurino stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Alhaurino VS Churriana de la Vega
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alhaurino

(Home)
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1
CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Churriana de la Vega

(Away)
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)