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CD Alhaurino vs Motril

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
CD Alhaurino Logo

CD Alhaurino

0 - 1
FT
Motril Logo

Motril

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Lopez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between CD Alhaurino and Motril finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Alhaurino
35%
Draws
28%
Motril
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of CD Alhaurino on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 68%
Motril Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alhaurino Motril
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Motril
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Motril
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Alhaurino
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Alhaurino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alhaurino 41 / 100
Motril 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alhaurino Motril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alhaurino found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Motril let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CD Alhaurino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Alhaurino VS Motril
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alhaurino

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Arenas Armilla
0 : 1
CD Alhaurino
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Motril

(Away)
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)