Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Alquerias vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between CD Alquerias and Santomera finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CD Alquerias
15%
Draws
51%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santomera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Alquerias Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Alquerias Santomera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Alquerias vs Santomera
1:1
Oct 21, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs CD Alquerias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Alquerias 32 / 100
Santomera 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Alquerias Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Santomera registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Alquerias scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santomera
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Alquerias

(Home)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
10 May
Ciudad Cieza
5 : 2
CD Alquerias
04 May
CD Alquerias
1 : 3
Sangonera
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 0
CD Alquerias
20 Apr
CD Alquerias
1 : 2
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

Santomera

(Away)
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)