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CD Ariznabarra vs Urduliz FT

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urduliz FT in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urduliz FT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Ariznabarra
20%
Draws
57%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urduliz FT lately — more wins on the board than CD Ariznabarra.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 20%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ariznabarra Urduliz FT
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Urduliz FT
0:3
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs CD Ariznabarra
2:2
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs CD Ariznabarra
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Urduliz FT
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ariznabarra 32 / 100
Urduliz FT 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ariznabarra Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urduliz FT let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CD Ariznabarra found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Ariznabarra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Urduliz FT
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ariznabarra

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
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Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)