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CD AS Pontes vs Dorneda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 game between CD AS Pontes and Dorneda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorneda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CD AS Pontes
35%
Draws
35%
Dorneda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD AS Pontes come out ahead of Dorneda on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD AS Pontes a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 16%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes Dorneda
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.14 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs CD AS Pontes
1:2
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Dorneda
3:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Dorneda
1:2
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs CD AS Pontes
2:4
Feb 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs CD AS Pontes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 48 / 100
Dorneda 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes Dorneda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

CD AS Pontes scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Dorneda has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

CD AS Pontes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD AS Pontes VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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Dorneda

(Away)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)