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CD AS Pontes vs Fisterra Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between CD AS Pontes and Fisterra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD AS Pontes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD AS Pontes
30%
Draws
23%
Fisterra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD AS Pontes haven't matched Fisterra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD AS Pontes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 68%
Fisterra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes Fisterra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Fisterra
3:2
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Fisterra vs CD AS Pontes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 95 / 100
Fisterra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes Fisterra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fisterra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Solid form: CD AS Pontes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Fisterra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD AS Pontes VS Fisterra
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

Fisterra

(Away)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Fisterra
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2
Atios
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Fisterra
4 : 2
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)