Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD AS Pontes vs Ourense CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD AS Pontes
30%
Draws
35%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ourense CF lately — more wins on the board than CD AS Pontes.
  • CD AS Pontes are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 20%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes Ourense CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Ourense CF
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CD AS Pontes
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Ourense CF
2:2
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CD AS Pontes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 76 / 100
Ourense CF 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ourense CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD AS Pontes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ourense CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ourense CF
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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Ourense CF

(Away)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Ourense CF
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Tenerife
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