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CD AS Pontes vs Somozas

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between CD AS Pontes and Somozas finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD AS Pontes
35%
Draws
32%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD AS Pontes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 20%
Somozas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD AS Pontes Somozas
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Somozas
0:4
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD AS Pontes
1:0
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Somozas
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD AS Pontes
1:2
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Somozas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD AS Pontes 49 / 100
Somozas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD AS Pontes Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CD AS Pontes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD AS Pontes's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD AS Pontes

(Home)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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Somozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)