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CD Azuaga vs CD Diocesano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
CD Azuaga Logo

CD Azuaga

2 - 0
FT
CD Diocesano Logo

CD Diocesano

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Vera A.
88' Event
Piochi V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Azuaga and CD Diocesano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Azuaga
30%
Draws
23%
CD Diocesano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Azuaga come out ahead of CD Diocesano on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga CD Diocesano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CD Diocesano
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CD Azuaga
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CD Diocesano
0:2
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CD Azuaga
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piochi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

CD Diocesano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
CD Diocesano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga CD Diocesano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: CD Diocesano conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Azuaga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS CD Diocesano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

CD Diocesano

(Away)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)